Thursday, June 6, 2013

2013 MLB Mock Draft Database Updated

Only hours from the start of the 2013 MLB Draft, we have updated our mock draft database.

Based on the mocks updated within the past four days, 11 of the 12 mock drafts in our database have a pitcher going first overall.  Seven of those 11 have it being Oklahoma's Jonathan Gray and four of them have Stanford's Mark Appel going first overall.

The one exception is Anthony Witrado of The Sporting News, who has the Astros selecting North Carolina third baseman Colin Moran.

If the majority of mocks are correct and it's a pitcher that goes first overall, the success rate of pitchers selected first overall has not been great.

Here's a chart from Baseball Reference of pitchers selected No. 1 overall in the MLB Draft since 1970:

201111PiratesGerrit Cole (minors)RHP
200911NationalsStephen Strasburg (minors)RHP7.05724152.851.080
200711Devil RaysDavid Price (minors)LHP15.113462353.291.190
200611RoyalsLuke Hochevar (minors)RHP0.814838605.331.391
200211PiratesBryan Bullington (minors)RHP-0.226195.621.580
199711TigersMatt Anderson (minors)RHP-0.52571575.191.5826
199611PiratesKris Benson (minors)RHP13.020670754.421.390
199411MetsPaul Wilson (minors)RHP2.217040584.861.450
199111YankeesBrien Taylor (minors)LHP
198911OriolesBen McDonald (minors)RHP20.921178703.911.260
198811PadresAndy Benes (minors)RHP31.74031551393.971.311
198311TwinsTim Belcher (minors)RHP26.23941461404.161.345
198111MarinersMike Moore (minors)RHP28.54501611764.391.422
197611AstrosFloyd Bannister (minors)LHP26.94311341434.061.330
197311RangersDavid Clyde (minors)LHP0.78418334.631.530

Again, you can view our updated mock draft database here.

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